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The new forecast Airbus For the airline industry, it is expected that more than 39 a thousand new planes for the next 20 years.
This dynamic airline industry continues to grow at an unprecedented level in the industry, which brings many more challenges for all those involved such as regulatory entities, governments, airports, airlines and obviously, aircraft manufacturers.
Within this context, Airbus makes its passenger growth forecasts and therefore, How many airplanes will be needed in the world to meet this growing demand?.
39 thousand new planes
The global fleet of passenger and freighter aircraft will more than double the almost 23,000 current, in cases 48,000 on 2038 with traffic that will increase 4.3% annual, which also results in the need for 550,000 new pilots and 640,000 new technicians.
For him 2038, of the forecast 47,680 total planes, 39,210 They will be new and 8,470 They already fly today. By upgrading fleets with next-generation, fuel-efficient aircraft, like the Airbus A220, the A320neo family, the A330neo and the A350, Airbus believes that it will greatly contribute to the progressive decarbonization of the air transport industry and the goal of growth carbon neutral from 2020 while connecting more people globally.
Reflecting today's evolving aeronautical technology, Airbus has simplified its segmentation to consider capacity, the scope and type of mission. For instance, a short-haul A321 is Small (S) Meanwhile he A321LR o Long distance XLR can be classified as Medium (M). While the core market for the A330 is classified as Medium (M), airlines are likely to continue to operate it in a way that falls within the Large market segmentation (L) together with him A350 ONLY.
The new segmentation gives rise to the need to 39,210 new passenger and cargo aircraft – 29,720 Small (S), 5,370 Medium (M) and 4,120 Big (L) – according to the latest Global Market Forecast 2019-2038 by Airbus.
Of these, 25,000 airplanes are for growth and 14,210 They are to replace older models with newer ones that offer superior efficiency.
Resistant to economic crises, Air traffic has more than doubled since 2000. Increasingly playing a key role in connecting large population centers, particularly in emerging markets where the propensity to travel is one of the highest in the world, as cost or geography make alternatives impossible. Hoy, Approximately a quarter of the world's urban population is responsible for more than a quarter of the world's GDP, and since both are key growth factors, aviation megacities (AMC) will continue to boost the global aviation network. Advances in superior fuel efficiency are further driving demand to replace existing aircraft with lower fuel consumption.
Airbus aircraft are market leaders in their segments. The small segment (S) includes the A220 Family and all variants of the A320 Family. Airbus' main products in the mid-segment (M) They are the A330 and A330neo family, and may also include the smaller A321LR and XLR versions used on long distance missions. The largest large segmentation (L), is represented by the A330neo family along with the larger A350 XWB family, which also includes the ultra long range version (ULR). This segmentation will continue to be attended to by the A380 at the top end.
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