When will the Guayaquil airport collapse?

We reviewedíCEAs withándo the Guayaquil airport arriveá to its capacity máxima, What owesíTo generate the beginning of Construción of the new airport in Daular.

In these daysías, again, it startedó to talk about the project new airport of Guayaquil. ¿Becauseé? The President of Ecuador brought to the table that in the Base Aéevil of Taura it will be possibleíto make a civil airport that would beía better located than Daular and daríto service to meás cities on the south coast and southern mountains of the countryís.

This debate got heatedó in networks with many ideas and proposals, others with very wrong data, but the debate on aviation is valuedóWhat is so needed in the countryís. Among all the hundreds of comments, many said that the current José Airporté Joaquín de Olmedo it's más that enough, that is enough and left over, but, ¿to beá forever?

¿CuáIn the Guayaquil airport arriveá to its capacity máxima?

You see meóIt has always been that Guayaquil sí needá a new airport (regardless of where it is done, but inside Guayaquil), but this is dueá give only when the current one reaches its maximum capacityáxima declares, which is from 7.5 million passengers annually adding national and international departures and arrivals.

¿Guayaquil needs a new airport?

To continue with thisálysis, we must know that, the Guayaquil International Airport during the 2024 transportó 4,167,249 of passengers for their, it is worth indicating, beautiful passenger terminal. Let us not forget that the constructionón was initially scheduled for 2018, afterés them insteadó for 2024 and until now, does not start.

as we see, to reach 7.5 million is missing quite a bit and the pandemic has directly affected this growth, I delayed itó  and brakeó. Así the current movement of the 10 úlast toños:

As we can see, the 2023 and 2024 they went toñus hereórich for Guayaquil, in which for the first time in its historyó the líhalf of the 4 million annually, but the trend is not stable upwards, for all the reasons we have talked about hereí on the blog, but this 2025 dutyíto overcome without problemsñor past.

However, We are going to answer the concern of this publicationón.

The projectionón it gives us the airport to growá annually between a 3% a 5% (not counting pandemic but drops to an average of 0.47%), this is approximately 226,736 extra passengers from toñor in añO.

The current data gives us the result, that based on a projectionón estimated and subject to the airport being able to have a growth boom, sayén for the añO 2039 will arriveíto trigger demand to open a new airport, claro isá and like i said, couldíto be before or afterés si alguna situationóExternal event such as a pandemic or global crisis could affect the entire industry again.

It is worth indicating that, this projectionón is very conservative and I did it like thisí given that, the conditions of tráI'm theéprisoner of the país and especially in the sunéstic, I didn't growó on 2024 and contracted.

It is important to know that airports are built téconical and orderly, since there are millionaire investments behindás, so you shouldn'tíwe love to surprise each otherí the constructionón that, can take from 3 a 4 años, make the first stone laid 2035 (or sooner if demand accelerates) or even if by willíThis is done even when the current terminal has space to receive millions of passengers.

And you, ¿thaté they think? ¿Se haará before the new airport or waitá for your demand to grow?