How many new planes will the world need??

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Advance the airline industry recovery and aircraft manufacturers have updated their forecasts, how many new planes will be needed in the world? Press photo Boeing

The recovery comes hand in hand with the improvement in operating costs and savings that airlines can make by exchanging lower-cost aircraft for new planes with technologies that reduce consumption of combustible and expenses.

In this way, Airbus, Boeing and Embraer have released their expectations for the industry of brand-new factory-new aircraft.

How many new planes will the world need??

Airbus

In the next 20 years, Airbus forecasts that demand for air transport will shift progressively from fleet growth to the accelerated retirement of older, less fuel-efficient aircraft, which will result in the need for some 39.000 new passenger and freighter aircraft, 15.250 of these for replacement.

Due, for 2040 the vast majority of commercial aircraft in operation will be of the latest generation, in front of 13% actual, which will significantly improve the CO2 efficiency of the world's commercial aircraft fleets.

Demand for new aircraft will include about 29.700 small planes like families A220 y A320, as well as around 5.300 in the category of medium aircraft such as the A321XLR and the A330neo. In the large segment, covered by the A350, foresees the need for 4.000 deliveries to 2040.

For Latin America, the need for 2460 new aircraft up to 2040.

Boeing

Boeing estimates that air travel within Asia Pacific markets will account for nearly half of global air traffic for 2040, driving demand for 20 years of 17.645 new aircraft valued at 3,1 billions of dollars. To support your commercial aviation industry, Asia-Pacific countries will also require after-sales services valued at 3,7 billions of dollars.

are estimated 43.610 new deliveries for the 2040, of which 2.390 would correspond to regional aircraft, 32.660 for single-aisle aircraft, 7.670 double aisle and 890 cargo planes.

Equally, for the next 20 years, the need for 612 thousand pilots, 626 thousand mechanics and 886 thousand cabin crew worldwide, of which the 8% will correspond to Latin America.

Embraer

The effects of the global pandemic have impacted the recovery of global traffic, measured in revenue passenger-kilometres, that Embraer expects to grow a 3,3% yearly until 2040. Global RPK volume is expected to 2019 come back in 2024.

Global demand for new aircraft up to 150 seating 10.900 units, with a market value of all new aircraft USD 650 billion:

• 8.640 jets
• 2.260 turbopropulsores

RPK annual regional growth rate: 4,2% in Asia Pacific (includes Chinese)

• 4,2% Latin America
• 3,8% Africa
• 3,6% middle East
• 3,5% CIS
• 2,3% Europe
• 2,0% North America

The economic benefits of aviation extend beyond the sector, contributing around the 4% of annual world GDP and maintaining some 90 millions of jobs around the world.

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